Estimates for counties, towns, and other small places, where direct survey numbers run too thin to stand on their own.
Posts work real examples end to end: the direct estimate, the model that borrows strength from similar places, and the error figures that say how far to trust the result.
Latest in Small Area Estimation
First Post: Friday, November 13, 2026
The first Small Area Estimation post arrives on Friday, November 13, 2026. New posts appear here as they publish.
Guides on the Shelf
SAE Studio: The Complete How-To Guide
Every screen and setting in SAE Studio, walked in order: the file, the column roles, the model setup, the results, the diagnostics, the methods report, the exports, and the license.
Read the GuideHow to Run a Small Area Estimation
The free SAE Studio guide: what small area estimation is, when direct estimates fail, how to prepare a file, run the Fay-Herriot model, and read results.
Read the GuideGo Deeper
More Pillars
Statistics for Investors
The statistics behind investing, worked on real data: averages that mislead, risk measures and their limits, and what backtests can and cannot show.
Browse the PillarValuation
Company valuation with the arithmetic shown: discounted cash flow, multiples, and the assumptions that move the answer.
Browse the PillarSurvey Research and Analysis How-To
How surveys are weighted, adjusted, and read, with step-by-step analysis methods for SPSS, Python, and the browser.
Browse the PillarMaine by the Numbers
Maine in data: population, work, housing, and health, county by county, from public sources.
Browse the Pillar